In 2012, the national investment in hydropower was 137.4 billion yuan

The directory of government information disclosure on the website of the National Development and Reform Commission shows that five large and medium-sized hydropower projects in the Dadu River and Jinsha River Basin have been approved by the National Development and Reform Commission. The large-scale approvals indicate that hydropower is expected to receive centralized approval this year, and the hydropower equipment industry will also come out of the trough and usher in the peak of new orders.

According to the announcement, the three projects in the Dadu River Basin are the Shaping II hydropower station, the Pingyao I power station, and the Angu hydropower station. Shaping II Hydropower Station installed six sets of 58,000-kilowatt bulb tubular turbine units with a total installed capacity of 348,000 kilowatts and an average annual power generation of 1.61 billion kwh. The Pillow Dam-1 hydropower station installed four sets of 180,000 kilowatts of axial-flow paddle-type turbine-generator units with a total installed capacity of 720,000 kilowatts and an average annual power generation of 3.29 billion kwh. Angu Hydropower Station installed four sets of 190,000 kilowatts and one 12,000 kilowatt axial-rotating paddle-type turbine-generator set with a total installed capacity of 772,000 kilowatts and an annual average power generation of 3.144 billion kwh.

The two projects in the Jinsha River Basin are the Lutila Hydropower Station and the Longkou Hydropower Station. The Ludila Hydropower Station has installed six sets of 360,000 kilowatt mixed-flow turbine-generator units with a total installed capacity of 2.16 million kilowatts and an annual average power generation of 9.323 billion kwh. Longkou Hydropower Station installed five sets of 360,000 kilowatt mixed-flow turbine-generator units with a total installed capacity of 1.8 million kilowatts and an annual average power generation of 7.396 billion kilowatt-hours.

According to incomplete statistics, the total dynamic investment of the five projects exceeded 60 billion yuan. The Guoping Group is responsible for the development of the Shaping II hydropower station and the Pingyao I Hydropower Station. The dynamic investment amounts to 5.284 billion yuan and 8.574 billion yuan respectively; the dynamic total investment of the Angu hydropower station developed by the China Hydropower Group is 9.699 billion yuan; Huadian Group The dynamic investment of the Ludila hydropower station responsible for development was 21.896 billion yuan; the total project dynamic investment of the Longkou hydropower station that Huaneng Group was responsible for developing was 16.7 billion yuan.

The cumulative installed capacity of the five projects reached 5.8 million kilowatts, and the cumulative annual power generation is expected to reach 24.764 billion kwh. Despite the long period of hydropower construction and large investment, power generation groups still compete for hydropower projects. According to incomplete statistics, there are currently nearly 20 large-scale hydropower projects that have been carried out by the five major power generation groups.

The forthcoming 12th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy proposes that during the 12th Five-Year Plan period, there are six major hydropower bases such as the Jinsha River, Yalong River, Dadu River, Lancang River, Nujiang River, and the upper reaches of the Yellow River, as well as the Brahmaputra River and other rivers. More than 60 key hydropower stations are under construction.

Among them, there will be more than 13 key hydropower stations such as Baihetan, Longpan, and Wudongde in the Jinsha River Basin; several hydropower stations will be constructed in Ganjiang, including the Nuozhadu, Dahuaqiao, and Kagong; in addition, the Dadu River and the upper reaches of the Yellow River The construction of 40 key hydropower stations will be started in Yalong River, Nujiang River, Yarlung Tsangpo River and other river areas.

Equipment companies may usher in peaks in new orders. In 2010, new orders from major hydropower equipment companies increased by 200% to 300%. Historically, orders for hydropower equipment companies have shown significant volatility, and the main cause of fluctuations is the progress and speed of approvals for the hydropower industry.

Guojin Securities analysts expect that central government investment will recover in the second half of 2012, while hydropower investment is an important investment export. Is it worth looking forward to the recovery of demand for hydropower equipment? “From the perspective of the 2020 hydropower vision, the tender volume in the last two to three years can provide enough industry space. By the end of 2010, the installed hydropower capacity in the country had reached 210 million kilowatts. The construction period of hydropower stations is generally 4 to 5 years. It is estimated that by 2020, the total installed capacity of 330 million kilowatts of hydropower will be estimated to be 20 million kilowatts per year for hydropower from 2011 to 2015. Calculated at a domestic average price of 900,000 yuan/MW, the average annual tender volume may reach 18 billion yuan (taking into account There will be fluctuations between the years. From the long-term planning point of view, the country’s attitude toward supporting hydropower development has not changed. Hydropower projects in the subsequent years will still be gradually implemented, and the average annual tender volume will be guaranteed.”

Guotai Junan Securities estimates that the number of hydropower project approvals this year will be between 17 million and 18 million kilowatts. According to the planning of the National Energy Administration, 20 million kilowatts will be approved this year. At present, five large-scale hydropower projects only complete one-fourth of the tasks. According to the State Electricity Regulatory Commission announced the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" during the production of electricity engineering project cost supervision report shows that hydropower project final account unit cost 6870 yuan / kilowatt. Based on this calculation, if new construction starts this year with 20 million kilowatts, this year's hydropower investment will reach 137.4 billion yuan (including projects).

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